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Old May 2nd, 2008, 04:57 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Interesting Article On Variance...

Hey All,

Published an interesting article on Variance today. This one is by Albatross77 from P5's - for anyone who is not familiar with the name he is a veteran of over 10,000 SNGs (probably more by now!) and grinds the lower levels (27's I think) on Stars for a good profit.

When Fantasy Becomes Nightmare: The Inevitable SNG Downswing that will Crush your Bankroll | by Albatross77

Be great to hear the views of the community here on this subject (article actually links to several more 'standard' bankroll management / ROI type pieces)

CHeers, Mark

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Old June 11th, 2008, 02:24 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: Interesting Article On Variance...

Nice Article.

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Old June 12th, 2008, 05:19 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: Interesting Article On Variance...

<-- can't read it from work
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Old June 12th, 2008, 06:08 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: Interesting Article On Variance...

can we get it pasted in this forum? cuz i cant read it at work either....also the bankroll thing would be good to read too, post it for us losers at work!

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Old June 12th, 2008, 08:03 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: Interesting Article On Variance...

<------Another one pretending to work that can not read it.
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Old June 12th, 2008, 06:28 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: Interesting Article On Variance...

I have to read at home since my work blocks the internet.

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Old June 13th, 2008, 05:52 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Default Re: Interesting Article On Variance...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr.X View Post
I have to read at home since my work blocks the internet.
You aren't the only one.
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Old June 19th, 2008, 02:10 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Default Re: Interesting Article On Variance...

good read, thankyou kindly sir.
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Old June 27th, 2008, 11:30 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Default Re: Interesting Article On Variance...

Very interesting/good article. I've seen alot of good players bust their bankroll because they either move up too early and won't believe a down swing can last *that* long - or they too easily account a down swing as variance, and refuse to believe their game isn't where it should be.

You really need to be constantly checking your game, on up swings and down swings, and in between. I have a friend who I routinely goe through HH's or just general theory, to ensure there are no obvious leaks that can contribute to down swings.

I could be naive here myself, but the only thing I would add is that going over 22 consecutive games without a cash in low limit SnGs is unrealistic. I would assume that if you went that long at $1-$20 SnGs there is probably a leak in your game as compared to general variance. Your edge (especially knowledge of ICM) is too big compared to your edge at them mid-high limit SnGs.

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Old July 20th, 2008, 08:47 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Default Re: Interesting Article On Variance...

Nice Article !!!!
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