Good points both - reminds me of the argument of whether bluffing is actually +ev once you remove the times that (unknown to yourself of course) you were 'bluffing with the best hand'??
Restealing is also complicated at the lower levels by opponents tendency to call once they have committed chips. When they see your 'weak' holding then it 'justifies' calling off their chips with A-6 off!
Conversely, if you were to resteal into an opponent and offer them 2/1 (for example) on the call then they
are justified in calling - this is the equivalent of calling an all-in (as is any pot-committing raise with no fold-equity).
So, back to the original question!
The chances of someone folding to a resteal are very situational / opponent dependant in my experience. While pushing over a button limp +
SB complete from the
BB in the middle stages may be +ev the game I play (multiple tables) means it is difficult to judge exacly who will fold to a resteal... thus backup is usually required in the shape of a hand that does well against a raisers calling range (ie choose 87s over A4o)... the times to do this (mid-game only, else the calling odds are there) are also limted... I think that the times you get called by better hand will often be balanced by any dead money... you are semi-bluffing here more than pure 're-stealing'.
Very interested to hear peoples thoughts on this.
Cheers, Mark
